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所以,楊致遠即將要下台了。

>> 2008/11/19

事情的演變告訴我們,就如同量子力學的測不準原理一般,世事發展不會盡如所料。但是,趨勢的脈絡卻是相去不遠的。

年初,當微軟提議併購 Yahoo! 的時候,我就說:

如果你問我,我覺得 Yahoo 是否應該答應?我會說,"the short answer is yes"。
你想問更詳細一點的話,我會說,"the long answer is a bit longer, but it's still yes"
為什麼?因為不管用任何理由來看,我都看不出來 Yahoo! 有能力在短期內,讓股價爬的比微軟出價更高。既然如此,在高點出脫給微軟,不就是對股東最好的交代?當時,常有朋友問我對這案子的看法。我也鐵口直斷的說,「必定會成交」。我的理由是:
  1. 當時就看的出來,全球經濟局勢依天比一天壞。雅虎不趁這個價格賣,三五年內絕對沒這種好價格。
  2. 如果楊致遠不肯賣,鐵定會有嗜血的資本家跳出來逼宮賺取價差。(果不其然,後來 Icahn 加入戰局,大舉購入雅虎股票,並且威脅董事會就範)
  3. 如果楊致遠還是不願意妥協,那麼微軟極可能結合 (2) 中的資本家角色,來發動董事會投票戰,撤換董事會之後拉楊致遠下台。然後換一個聽話的 CEO,上台繼續併購案。 (Icahn 當初的聲明也很有這種味道)
  4. 即使楊致遠可以抵擋 (2) 和 (3) 的情勢,那麼由於 (1) 的關係,事後很可能會證明公司股價無法達到微軟出價的高點。那麼楊致遠自己的位子恐怕怎麼也坐不住了。
因此,總結各種因素,我怎麼看都認為微軟買 Yahoo 根本是已成定局的事情。甚至當初在 Icahn 開砲的時候我也說
如果說 Icahn 採取行動以前,沒有和微軟達成某種程度的協議的話,我是不相信的。
結果,人算不如天算。完全出乎我的意料之外,Yahoo 董事會和 Icahn 之間達成了共識,由 Icahn 方面佔取兩席董事。當然協議的內容外界無從得知,我們也無法了解到底 Yahoo 董事會給了 Icahn 些什麼檯面下的東西。總之我們知道,最後微軟的併購案被扔出窗外,宣告破局。

後來,隨著雷曼兄弟、AIG、美林等金融機構地雷接連爆發,舉世皆知的「金融海嘯」發生了。11/6,楊致遠對外公開說,他仍然認為 Yahoo 和微軟的結合「是最好的方案」。在金融市場的一般解讀,傳達出的訊息是「楊致遠放棄抵抗,決定還是放手了。」

就在今天,消息傳出,楊致遠即將交棒。Yahoo 目前正在尋找下任 CEO 的可能人選,物色到適當的人物之後,楊致遠即將下台一鞠躬。

楊致遠下臺的理由是什麼?是疲累倦怠?心灰意冷?還是被逼宮下台?我不知道。
但是我知道,在微軟和 Yahoo 購併案破局的那一刻開始,這個事情就不遠了。

[Update] 有人問我,楊致遠下臺是不是在「搬開石頭」讓微軟可以放手買?我覺得倒是很難說。理由是:
  1. 首先,微軟到目前為止,都還沒有再度公開說過他們有意購買雅虎。
  2. 其次,即使微軟仍然有意購買,現在估價的水準一定會比年初的時候低上許多。雅虎股價和年初相比已經不只是腰斬,如果微軟現在出價有當初的六折已經是很慷慨了。那麼,雅虎現在的董事會願意接受這麼低的出價嗎?尤其是幾個月前才拒絕這麼高的價格?
  3. 再其次,即使微軟有意購買、也有意思出高價,但是現在的環境恐怕不允許他們這樣做。微軟自己股價也跌了不少,各大銀行現在也都緊縮信用銀根。要一口氣買雅虎這麼大的公司是不可能不融資的。但是現在的信用環境和銀行氣氛,對這種大規模融資案並不那麼歡迎。簡單的說,就是微軟的融資成本會比年初高上許多。因此即使微軟有意出價,恐怕也是有心無力,不一定吃的下來。
但是話又說回來了,人算總是不如天算。讓我們慢慢靜看事態發展吧。

Read more...

Yahoo 正式回應 Icahn 的公開信

>> 2008/05/16

好戲果然就應該連播不停...

昨晚 Icahn 發表公開信,表明要發動 proxy battle 撤換 Yahoo 董事會以後,不到 12 小時,Yahoo 董事長 Roy Bostock 也發了正式的回應。

因為 Icahn 擺明他的目標就是要讓 Yahoo 重回談判桌跟微軟協商,Roy Bostock 在信中也指出,

「請容我提醒你,『現在』並沒有微軟、或是其他公司提出的購併提案。」
「你準備強迫 Yahoo 賣給一個前求婚者,而這家公司已經公開宣稱他們『繼續前行』。我們並不相信這符合 Yahoo 股東的利益。」
信中除了辯解和微軟協商的過程,表示雅虎並沒有一開始就拒人於千里之外以外,也不忘記強調,
「Yahoo 目前的十人董事會,包括 CEO 楊致遠,仍然是最能夠讓 Yahoo 股東權益最佳化的團隊。」
Bostock 為董事會的決策辯護是可以理解的。至於賣給微軟是對還是錯?這種問題當然沒有答案。Icahn 當然可以藉著逼使雅虎賣給微軟大賺一票,但是對楊致遠和 David Filo 來說則是情何以堪。但是,感情和面子是不能夠在資本市場上說服投資人的。雅虎過去四年的股價曲線實在不好,現在的董事會要怎麼讓投資人相信,雅虎可以憑藉一己之力力挽狂瀾,這才是當務之急的重點。

好戲連篇。我們就等著看這段,彷如 Oracle 和 BEA Systems 重演的戲碼吧。

[註] Bostock 公開回應的全文可以在這邊看到。我照引如下。

May 15, 2008
Dear Mr. Icahn:

We are in receipt of your letter with regard to your intention to seek control of Yahoo!'s board of directors.

Unfortunately, your letter reflects a significant misunderstanding of the facts about the Microsoft proposal and the diligence with which our board evaluated and responded to that proposal. A fair-minded review of the factual record leads to one conclusion: that Yahoo!'s ten-member board, comprised of nine independent directors along with Yahoo! CEO Jerry Yang, remains the best and most qualified group to maximize value for all Yahoo! stockholders.

Conversely, we do not believe it is in the best interests of Yahoo! stockholders to allow you and your hand-picked nominees to take control of Yahoo! for the express purpose of trying to force a sale of Yahoo! to a formerly interested buyer who has publicly stated that they have moved on. Please may I remind you that there is currently no acquisition offer on the table from that company or any other party. That said, we have been crystal clear in our stance that we have been and remain willing to consider any proposal from any party including Microsoft if it offers our stockholders full and certain value.

From the beginning of the process with Microsoft, Yahoo!'s independent directors focused on one central goal: how best to maximize stockholder value. At all times directing this process, Yahoo!'s independent directors carefully considered Microsoft's initial unsolicited proposal, which was at the time valued at $31 per share. After considering input from its financial advisers the board unanimously concluded that Microsoft's proposal significantly undervalued Yahoo! and was, therefore, not in the best interests of the company or our stockholders. While we rejected this offer publicly on February 11, 2008, we could not have been more clear in that communication and in every subsequent communication, both public and private, that we were and are willing to enter into any transaction that would maximize value for stockholders and provide them certainty of value.

The record of our efforts to engage Microsoft in meaningful discussions is unequivocal. Following receipt of Microsoft's proposal on January 31, our board of directors has met over twenty times to review Microsoft's proposal and Yahoo!'s other strategic alternatives. Throughout this process our board kept an open mind and an open ear. Our independent directors met with several of our largest stockholders to solicit their views and to make it clear that Yahoo!'s independent board is fully committed to maximizing stockholder value. In addition, at the direction of our board, our management team met with many of our investors to provide insight into Yahoo!'s strategy and views on value.

Our board's openness also extended to Microsoft. Without reciting all of the contacts between us and between our advisers, the senior-most management of Yahoo! and Microsoft and the companies' respective financial advisers spoke on numerous occasions and met in person seven times. During those meetings, Yahoo! discussed its strategic objectives in search and display advertising monetization, its perspectives on operating strategy and integration in a transaction with Microsoft, its perspectives on transaction synergies, and other non-price deal terms. Because certainty of closing is a critical issue, we sought to understand Microsoft's thinking with regard to the regulatory issues associated with a potential transaction. In fact, at the board's direction, our lawyers on March 28 asked for additional information in this regard, information which was never forthcoming.

On April 15th, a meeting was held at Yahoo!'s request. At that meeting, which included our respective financial advisors, we made clear, once again, that we were open to a transaction with Microsoft. During those discussions, Yahoo! made a detailed presentation of its strategic and financial plan, its thoughts on integration and its view with respect to the potential synergies that could be achieved in a transaction, essentially laying the foundation for Microsoft to understand--and respond to--our board's conclusion that Microsoft's offer substantially undervalued the company. Following that meeting we also provided to Microsoft a list of key non-price deal terms that our board believed were critical items to be addressed in a deal to provide reasonable protections for our stockholders.

Throughout this period, Microsoft continued to state that it would not raise its offer, and even suggested that it could lower it.

Despite this failure by Microsoft to respond in any substantive way to any of Yahoo!'s requests, on May 2nd, the same day we first learned of Microsoft's apparent willingness to increase its proposal to $33 (although this oral "offer" was never delivered in writing and did not include details of a cash/stock mix), our board determined to continue discussions, instructing Jerry Yang to indicate to Microsoft that we would be prepared to enter into a transaction that valued Yahoo! at $37 per share and that provided reasonable certainty of value and certainty of closing. This was communicated to Microsoft in-person at a meeting in Seattle on May 3rd. With Microsoft's offer at $33 and Yahoo!'s counter-proposal at $37, Microsoft elected, within hours, to walk away from the negotiating table and informed us that they were "moving on," having never engaged further on price or any of the key non-price deal terms.

In short, Yahoo!'s board was at every point in this process prepared to enter into a transaction with Microsoft that would maximize stockholder value--and included certainty of value and closing. What Yahoo!'s independent board refused to do was to allow control of this company to be acquired for less than its full value.

That brings us to today. Our business is performing well as evidenced by our first quarter results. As we have publicly stated, our board continues to actively and expeditiously explore strategic alternatives to maximize stockholder value. None of the alternatives we are considering would preclude us from entering into a transaction with Microsoft or any other party.

We continue to believe that Yahoo!'s current board has the independence, the knowledge, and the commitment to navigate the Company through the rapidly changing Internet environment and to deliver value for Yahoo! and its stockholders.

We look forward to a productive dialogue.

Very truly yours,

Roy Bostock

Chairman of the Board

Read more...

鉅子 Carl Icahn 對 Yahoo 董事會開砲了

雖然最近忙到翻掉,但是看到這麼戲劇性的東西,還是要寫一下當紀念的 :p

就在 Steve Ballmer 說微軟決定撤回對 Yahoo 的併購案之後,今晚 Carl Icahn 對 Yahoo 董事會開砲了,發表了一封公開信。這位老兄好怒啊。他形容雅虎董事會

「躲在管理階層過度樂觀的財務預測後面,十分不負責任。」
他也說,
「微軟的提案十分慷慨,對雅虎的估價比公開求婚的前一天還要高出 72%。拒絕這個提議顯然是非常不理智的。」
實力雄厚的 Carl Icahn,除了開罵以外,也擺明他不是只有一張嘴而已。公開信中聲稱,他已經花了十三億美金買了雅虎五千九百萬股 (大約佔雅虎 4% 股權)。而且他正在向美國聯邦交易委員會提出申請,希望得到反托拉斯的許可,以便買下價值二十五億美金的雅虎股權 (大約 8% 左右)。

Icahn 表示不只贊成微軟的購併案,而且也打算提案撤換雅虎的董事會 - 他已經公開提了一個十人名單,希望能夠在七月三號的雅虎股東年會上面,取得多數董事席位。十人都是赫赫有名,除了他自己以外,還包括:
  • 網路創業傳奇人物 Mark Cuban
  • Viacom 創辦人 Frank Biondi Jr.
  • New Line Cenima 的 CEO Robert Shaye
  • 創投家 Adam Dell。啥?你不認識他?那你至少該認得他哥哥 Michael Dell 吧?
Carl Icahn 這些舉動的背後,和微軟的 Steve Ballmer 有沒有什麼默契或是私下的合作,是很耐人尋味的。不過這是楊致遠和雅虎董事會要擔心的事情了。我們只要負責看連續劇看不到的好戲就好了啊! XD

話說回來,楊致遠接任 CEO 以後,風波總是不斷。他能夠有時間精力來做好公司重整的工作嗎?我很懷疑。光是應付微軟大巨獸想必就已經筋疲力竭了。現在又來一個 Carl Icahn,恐怕難得有一夜好眠了...

[註] Carl Icahn 是具有傳奇色彩的投資人。他以爭取股東權益聞名,令許多上市公司老闆聞之色變。最近的事蹟是投資摩托羅拉事件。他所投資的公司,通常伴隨著大規模的重整,包括經營階層的重新洗牌與裁員。
[註二] 公開信的全文在這裡可以看到。我照引如下:

SECURITY HOLDERS ARE ADVISED TO READ THE PROXY STATEMENT AND OTHER DOCUMENTS RELATED TO THE SOLICITATION OF PROXIES BY Carl C. Icahn AND HIS AFFILIATES FROM THE STOCKHOLDERS OF YAHOO! INC. FOR USE AT ITS ANNUAL MEETING, WHEN AND IF THEY BECOME AVAILABLE, BECAUSE THEY WILL CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION, INCLUDING INFORMATION RELATING TO THE PARTICIPANTS IN ANY SUCH PROXY SOLICITATION. WHEN AND IF COMPLETED, A DEFINITIVE PROXY STATEMENT AND A FORM OF PROXY WILL BE MAILED TO STOCKHOLDERS OF YAHOO! INC. AND WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT NO CHARGE AT THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION'S WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.SEC.GOV. INFORMATION RELATING TO THE POTENTIAL PARTICIPANTS IN A POTENTIAL PROXY SOLICITATION IS CONTAINED IN EXHIBIT 1 TO THE SCHEDULE 14A BEING FILED TODAY WITH THE SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION.

                                Carl C. Icahn
ICAHN CAPITAL LP
767 Fifth Avenue, 47th Floor
New York, NY 10153

May 15, 2008

Roy Bostock
Chairman
Yahoo! Inc.
701 First Avenue
Sunnyvale, CA 94089

Dear Mr. Bostock:

It is clear to me that the board of directors of Yahoo has acted irrationally and lost the faith of shareholders and Microsoft. It is quite obvious that Microsoft's bid of $33 per share is a superior alternative to Yahoo's prospects on a standalone basis. I am perplexed by the board's actions. It is irresponsible to hide behind management's more than overly optimistic financial forecasts. It is unconscionable that you have not allowed your shareholders to choose to accept an offer that represented a 72% premium over Yahoo's closing price of $19.18 on the day before the initial Microsoft offer. I and many of your shareholders strongly believe that a combination between Yahoo and Microsoft would form a dynamic company and more importantly would be a force strong enough to compete with Google on the Internet.

During the past week, a number of shareholders have asked me to lead a proxy fight to attempt to remove the current board and to establish a new board which would attempt to negotiate a successful merger with Microsoft, something that in my opinion the current board has completely botched. I believe that a combination between Microsoft and Yahoo is by far the most sensible path for both companies. I have therefore taken the following actions: (1) during the last 10 days, I have purchased approximately 59 million shares and share-equivalents of Yahoo; (2) I have formed a 10-person slate which will stand for election against the current board; and (3) I have sought antitrust clearance from the Federal Trade Commission to acquire up to approximately $2.5 billion worth of Yahoo stock. The biographies of the members of our slate are attached to this letter. A more formal notification is being delivered today to Yahoo under separate cover.

While it is my understanding that you do not intend to enter into any transaction that would impede a Microsoft-Yahoo merger, I am concerned that in several recent press releases you stated that you intend to pursue certain "strategic alternatives". I therefore hope and trust that if there is any question that these "strategic alternatives" might in any way impede a future Microsoft merger you will at the very least allow shareholders to opine on them before embarking on such a transaction.

I sincerely hope you heed the wishes of your shareholders and move expeditiously to negotiate a merger with Microsoft, thereby making a proxy fight unnecessary.

    Sincerely yours,

CARL C. ICAHN

SLATE BIOGRAPHIES

Lucian A. Bebchuk

Lucian Bebchuk is the William J. Friedman and Alicia Townsend Friedman Professor of Law, Economics, and Finance and Director of the Program on Corporate Governance at Harvard Law School. Bebchuk is also a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research and Inaugural Fellow of the European Corporate Governance Network. Trained in both law and economics, Bebchuk holds an LL.M. and S.J.D. from Harvard Law School and an M.A. and Ph.D in Economics from the Harvard Economics Department. He joined the Harvard Law School faculty in 1986 as an assistant professor, becoming a full professor in 1988, and the Friedman Professor of Law, Economics and Finance in 1998. Bebchuk has written extensively on corporate governance, corporate control, and corporate transactions. He has published more than seventy research articles in academic journals in law, economics, and finance. Upon electing him to membership in 2000, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences cited him as "[o]ne of the nation's leading scholars of law and economics," who "has made major contribution to the study of corporate control, governance, and insolvency." He is the 2007-2008 President of the American Law and Economics Association, and a former chair of the Business Association Section of the American Association of Law Teachers. Bebchuk's recent writings include Pay without Performance: the Unfulfilled Promise of Executive Compensation (Harvard University Press, 2004, co-authored with Jesse Fried), "The Case for Increasing Shareholder Power" (Harvard Law Review, 2005), "The Costs of Entrenched Boards" (Journal of Financial Economics, 2005, co-authored with Alma Cohen), and "The Myth of the Shareholder Franchise" (Virginia Law Review, 2007). Bebchuk has been a frequent contributor to policy making and public discourse in the corporate governance area. He has appeared before the Senate Finance Committee, the House Committee of Financial Services, and the SEC. He has published many op-ed pieces, including in the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and the Financial Times. He was included in the list of "100 most influential people in finance" of Treasury & Risk Management and the list of "100 most influential players in corporate governance" of Directorship magazine.

Frank J. Biondi, Jr.

Since March 1999, Mr. Biondi has served as Senior Managing Director of WaterView Advisors LLC, an investment advisor organization. From April 1996 to November 1998, Mr. Biondi served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Universal Studios, Inc. From July 1987 to January 1996, Mr. Biondi served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Viacom, Inc. Mr. Biondi is a director of Amgen Inc., Cablevision Systems Corp., Hasbro, Inc., The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation and Seagate Technology. Mr. Biondi is a graduate of Princeton University and earned a Masters of Business Administration from Harvard University.

John H. Chapple

John Chapple is President of Hawkeye Investments LLC, a privately-owned equity firm investing primarily in telecommunications and real estate ventures frequently working in conjunction with Rally Capital LLC. Prior to forming Hawkeye, John Chapple worked to organize Nextel Partners, a provider of digital wireless services in mid-size and smaller markets throughout the U.S. He became the President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Nextel Partners and its subsidiaries in August of 1998. Nextel Partners went public in February 2000 and was traded on the NASDAQ Exchange. In June 2006, the company was purchased by Sprint Communications. From 1995 to 1997, Mr. Chapple was the President and Chief Operating Officer for Orca Bay Sports and Entertainment in Vancouver, B.C. During Mr. Chapple's tenure, Orca Bay owned and operated Vancouver's National Basketball Association and National Hockey League sports franchises in addition to the General Motors Place sports arena and retail interests. From 1988 to 1995, he served as Executive Vice President of Operations for McCaw Cellular Communications and subsequently AT&T Wireless Services following the merger of those companies. From 1978 to 1983, he served on the senior management team of Rogers Cablesystems before moving to American Cablesystems as Senior Vice President of Operations from 1983 to 1988. Mr. Chapple, a graduate of Syracuse University and Harvard University's Advanced Management Program, has 26 years of experience in the cable television and wireless communications industries. Mr. Chapple is the past Chairman of Cellular One Group and CTIA-The Wireless Association, past Vice-Chairman of the Cellular Telecommunications Industry Association and has been on the Board of Governors of the NHL and NBA. Mr. Chapple serves on the Syracuse University Board of Trustees currently as Chairman and the Advisory Board for the Maxwell School of Syracuse University. He is also on the Board of Directors of Cbeyond, Inc., a publicly traded Atlanta-based integrated service telephony company; Seamobile Enterprises, a privately held company providing integrated wireless services at sea; Telesphere, a privately held VOIP (voice over internet protocol) company based in Phoenix, Arizona; and on the advisory boards of Diamond Castle Holdings, LLC, a private equity firm based in New York City and the Daniel J. Evans School of Public Affairs at University of Washington.

Mark Cuban

Since early 2000, Mr. Cuban has been the majority and controlling owner of the National Basketball Association franchise, the Dallas Mavericks. In 2001, Mr. Cuban co-founded HDNet, an all high-definition television network on DIRECTV that broadcasts high-definition sports, movies and other entertainment. Prior to his purchase of the Dallas Mavericks, Mr. Cuban co- founded Broadcast.com in 1995 and served as its Chairman of the Board until it was sold to Yahoo! in July of 1999. Before Broadcast.com, Mr. Cuban co-founded MicroSolutions, a national systems integrator, in 1983, which was later sold to CompuServe Corporation in 1990. Mr. Cuban is an active investor in cutting- edge technologies and various industries, including the entertainment industry.

Adam Dell

Since January 2000, Mr. Dell has served as the Managing General Partner of Impact Venture Partners, a venture capital firm focused on information technology investments. He also serves as Managing Director at Steelpoint Capital Partners, a private equity firm with offices in New York and California. From October 1998 to January 2000, Mr. Dell was a Senior Associate and subsequently a Partner with Crosspoint Venture Partners in Northern California. From July 1997 to August 1998, he was a Senior Associate with Enterprise Partners in Southern California. From January 1996 to June 1997 Mr. Dell was associated with the law firm of Winstead Sechrest & Minick, in Austin, Texas, where he practiced corporate law. Mr. Dell's investments include: Buzzsaw (which was acquired by Autodesk), HotJobs (which was acquired by Yahoo!) and Connectify (which was acquired by Kana Software). Mr. Dell has been a director of XO Holdings, Inc., a telecommunications services provider, since February 2006, and of its predecessor from January 2003 to February 2006. In addition, Mr. Dell currently serves on the boards of directors of the Santa Fe Institute, MessageOne and OpenTable. He also teaches a course at the Columbia Business School on business, technology and innovation and is a contributing columnist to the technology publication, Business 2.0. Mr. Dell received a J.D. from University of Texas and a B.A. from Tulane University.

Carl C. Icahn

Mr. Icahn has served as chairman of the board and a director of Starfire Holding Corporation, a privately-held holding company, and chairman of the board and a director of various subsidiaries of Starfire, since 1984. Since August 2007, through his position as Chief Executive Officer of Icahn Capital LP, a wholly owned subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises L.P., and certain related entities, Mr. Icahn's principal occupation is managing private investment funds, including Icahn Partners LP, Icahn Partners Master Fund LP, Icahn Partners Master Fund II L.P. and Icahn Partners Master Fund III L.P. Prior to August 2007, Mr. Icahn conducted this occupation through his entities CCI Onshore Corp. and CCI Offshore Corp since September 2004. Since November 1990, Mr. Icahn has been chairman of the board of Icahn Enterprises G.P. Inc., the general partner of Icahn Enterprises L.P. Icahn Enterprises L.P. is a diversified holding company engaged in a variety of businesses, including investment management, metals, real estate and home fashion. Mr. Icahn was chairman of the board and president of Icahn & Co., Inc., a registered broker- dealer and a member of the National Association of Securities Dealers, from 1968 to 2005. Mr. Icahn has served as chairman of the board and as a director of American Railcar Industries, Inc., a company that is primarily engaged in the business of manufacturing covered hopper and tank railcars, since 1994. From October 1998 through May 2004, Mr. Icahn was the president and a director of Stratosphere Corporation, the owner and operator of the Stratosphere Hotel and Casino in Las Vegas, which, until February 2008, was a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises L.P. From September 2000 to February 2007, Mr. Icahn served as the chairman of the board of GB Holdings, Inc., which owned an interest in Atlantic Coast Holdings, Inc., the owner and operator of The Sands casino in Atlantic City until November 2006. Mr. Icahn has been chairman of the board and a director of XO Holdings, Inc., a telecommunications services provider, since February 2006, and of its predecessor from January 2003 to February 2006. Mr. Icahn has served as a Director of Cadus Corporation, a company engaged in the ownership and licensing of yeast-based drug discovery technologies since July 1993. In May 2005, Mr. Icahn became a director of Blockbuster Inc., a provider of in-home movie rental and game entertainment. In October 2005, Mr. Icahn became a director of WestPoint International, Inc., a manufacturer of bed and bath home fashion products. In September 2006, Mr. Icahn became a director of ImClone Systems Incorporated, a biopharmaceutical company, and since October 2006 has been the chairman of the board of ImClone. In August 2007, Mr. Icahn became a director of WCI Communities, Inc., a homebuilding company, and since September 2007 has been the chairman of the board of WCI. In December 2007, Mr. Icahn became a director of Federal-Mogul Corporation, a supplier of automotive products, and since January 2008 has been the chairman of the board of Federal-Mogul. In April 2008, Mr. Icahn became a director of Motricity, Inc., a privately-held company that provides mobile content services and solutions. Mr. Icahn received his B.A. from Princeton University.

Keith A. Meister

Since March 2006, Keith Meister has served as Principal Executive Officer and Vice Chairman of the Board of Icahn Enterprises G.P. Inc., the general partner of Icahn Enterprises L.P., a diversified holding company engaged in a variety of businesses, including investment management, metals, real estate and home fashion. Since November 2004, Mr. Meister has been a Managing Director of Icahn Capital LP, the entity through which Carl C. Icahn manages third party private investment funds. Since June 2002, Mr. Meister has served as senior investment analyst of High River Limited Partnership, an entity primarily engaged in the business of holding and investing in securities. Mr. Meister also serves on the boards of directors of the following companies: XO Holdings, Inc., a telecommunications company; WCI Communities, Inc., a homebuilding company; Federal-Mogul Corporation, a supplier of automotive products; and Motorola, Inc., a mobile communications company. With respect to each company mentioned above, Carl C. Icahn, directly or indirectly, either (i) controls such company or (ii) has an interest in such company through the ownership of securities. Mr. Meister received an A.B. in government, cum laude, from Harvard College in 1995.

Edward H. Meyer

Mr. Meyer serves as Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer of Ocean Road Advisors, Inc., an investment management company. From 1970 to 2006, he served as Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President of Grey Global Group, Inc., a multi-billion dollar global advertising and marketing agency. Mr. Meyer serves as a Director of Harman International Industries, Inc., Ethan Allen Interiors, Inc., National CineMedia, Inc. and NRDC Acquisition Corp. Mr. Meyer holds a B.A. in Economics from Cornell University.

Brian S. Posner

Brian S. Posner is a private investor. From 2005 through March 2008, he served as Chief Executive Officer and co-Chief Investment Officer of ClearBridge Advisors LLC (and its predecessor company, CAM North America), an asset management company based in New York with approximately $90 billion in assets and a wholly owned subsidiary of Legg Mason Inc. Prior to ClearBridge Advisors, he was a co-Founder and the Managing Partner of Hygrove Partners LLC, a hedge fund company that was formed in 2000. Prior to ClearBridge Advisors and Hygrove Partners, he served as a Portfolio Manager and an Analyst, first at Fidelity Investments from 1987 to 1996 and then at Warburg Pincus Asset Management/Credit Suisse Asset Management from 1997 to 1999. At Warburg Pincus Asset Management/Credit Suisse Asset Management he was a Managing Director and served as the Senior Investment Manager of the Value Equity Group, co-Portfolio Manager of the Warburg Pincus Growth & Income Fund, and Portfolio Manager of the Warburg Pincus Institutional Value Fund and the Warburg Pincus Trust, Growth and Income Fund. Prior to the acquisition of Warburg Pincus Asset Management ("WPAM") by Credit Suisse Asset Management in July 1999, he was co-Chief Investment Officer, Director of Research, Chairman of the Global Asset Allocation Committee, and a member of the Executive Operating Committee at WPAM. At Fidelity Investments, he was the Portfolio Manager of the Fidelity Equity Income II Fund from 1992 to 1996 and the Fidelity Value Fund from 1990 to 1992. He also managed the Select Life Insurance, Select Property Casualty Insurance and Select Energy Portfolios. From 1987 to 1990, he was an Oil, Insurance, and Financial Services Analyst. From August 2000 to April 2003 he served on the Board of Directors for Sotheby's Holdings, Inc. He currently a member of the Board of Trustees at Northwestern University and the Board of Visitors for the Weinberg College of Arts and Sciences at Northwestern University. Mr. Posner received his undergraduate degree in history from Northwestern University in 1983 and his M.B.A. in finance from the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business in 1987.

Robert K. Shaye

Robert Shaye is Co-Chairman and Co-CEO of New Line Cinema. As the Founder of New Line Cinema and a filmmaker himself, Robert Shaye has spent more than 40 years developing and distributing films that reflect a wide array of cultural movements, creating new paradigms for the motion picture business, and most importantly, entertaining millions of moviegoers. Since he founded New Line in 1967, Shaye has guided the company's growth from a privately-held art film distributor to one of the entertainment industry's leading independent studios and a veritable box office force. He has been involved in such films as The Lord of the Rings trilogy, Rush Hour, Austin Powers and Seven. A University of Michigan graduate with a degree in business administration and a J.D. degree from Columbia University Law School, Shaye is also a Fulbright Scholar, member of the New York State Bar, and serves on the Board of Trustees of the Motion Picture Pioneers, and the American Film Institute.


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微軟推出類似 Amazon SimpleDB 服務

>> 2008/03/10

企業形象果然很重要啊...

今天看到一篇 blog post,是在講微軟推了新的服務來跟 Amazon 的 SimpleDB 打對台:SQL Server Data Services, SSDS。稍微看了幾眼,推的東西跟 SimpleDB 真的很像:他在背後綁著微軟 SQL Server ,前端開個 web service api 給你操作,讓你省 DBA 的功夫和金錢。

為什麼說企業形象很重要呢?

因為我發現那篇 blog post 是在 3/7 寫的。可是這幾天國內可都沒聽說什麼人在講這回事。別說其他人,你聽到微軟出這個 solution 會很振奮嗎?你會覺得微軟這個 solution 對你很有幫助、讓你很放心嗎?

SSDS 網頁上面並沒有標價,目前是 free beta。但是每個人聽到的第一個反應都是:「那微軟要收多少錢?」戒心十足。

企業形象果然是很重要的啊。

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微軟提議用 446 億美金收購 Yahoo

>> 2008/02/02

今天在 San Jose 旅館剛起床,到處都在講的新聞就是微軟提議用 446 億美金 (44.6 billion) 收購 Yahoo。消息一出,Yahoo 股價開盤應聲大漲接近五成,來到 28 元的水準。

YHOO 股價漲近五成

市場顯然十分喜歡這個 bid,也表示華爾街對 Yahoo 只靠自己的 restructure 和奮鬥是否能夠翻身已經不再具備任何耐心。由這種股價反映看來,華爾街顯然希望有外部的 executive 進來,或者尤其是微軟這種具有戰略性角色的公司來作收購。

這種股價曲線,看在眼裡,實在感觸不少。現在 Yahoo 已經淪落到即使股價漲了 50% 都還只有 28 元的水準了。在各界都對 Yahoo 喪失信心的時候,微軟的收購是否能夠替 Yahoo 重新帶來新生命?成敗當然還在未定之天。可是有希望總比沒希望好,金融市場總是希望有夢想。而夢想正是 Yahoo 沒辦法提供的。

如果你問我,我覺得 Yahoo 是否應該答應?我會說,"the short answer is yes"。
你想問更詳細一點的話,我會說,"the long answer is a bit longer, but it's still yes"。

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另一種 captcha - Asirra

>> 2007/10/28

這是在逛 Microsoft Research 的時候看到的。

Asirra 也是一種用來判斷 user 到底是人還是機器人的方法,只是傳統的作法都是用字畫成圖 (大家都很熟所謂的「認證碼」吧?)。但是隨著這種作法越來越沒有效果,開始有一些人找新的方向。Asirra 是 Animal Species Image Recognition for Restricted Access 的縮寫。簡單的說,就是讓使用者由圖片來判斷這是貓是狗還是什麼動物種類,藉此來認證使用者確實是個「人」。照片則是由和微軟合作的 petfinder.com 提供。使用者玩一玩還可以選擇要不要認養這些小動物!


yahoo captcha MSN passport captcha
這個點子其實並不算新穎,兩年前在看到 PWNtcha 的時候其實就看過了。不過或許是這年頭 fuzzy OCR 等相關技術越來越成熟,導致像是 Yahoo! (左上圖)或是 MSN Passport (左下圖) 這種人幾乎都看不出來的認證碼,機器倒是可以破的行雲流水。或許是因為這種因素,讓 Asirra 這種 project 開始有更往前推展的動力。

Asirra 也有開放出來讓任何站台都可以使用,呼叫方式也非常簡單,幾乎只要拉一個 Asirra 的 javascript 來就可以了。不過對於針對大眾的網站來說有個地方不方便:Asirra 需要使用圖片,沒有辦法讓視力不好的 user 使用聲音辨識。

對我來說,主要的缺點應該是這個 captcha 花費的時間太久了。根據 Asirra 的研究,似乎大部分的 user 都能在 20 - 30 秒內解出正確答案。不過 20 - 30 秒可是很長的時間啊... 另一方面來說,不知道是不是 petfinder 提供的照片有什麼問題,有的照片根本烏漆媽黑我實在搞不清楚是狗是貓... =_=

如果真的要用 captcha,我大概還是會考慮 reCAPTCHA 吧... :p

如果對 Asirra 背後的理論有興趣,可以看他們發表的這篇 paper

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微軟研究院 - Microsoft Research Center

>> 2007/10/27

上次才說到,為了處理一些技術密集度高的東西,跑去 IEEE 和 ACM 翻查電子論文,可是對結果都不甚滿意。今天仍然在東查西找的時候,意外找來微軟的 Microsoft Research,沒想到裡面有不少我用的著的好東西,發表的 paper 品質也相當高啊。一點都不會比一流期刊的水準差呢。

以前聽到微軟研究院的時候都沒什麼感覺,現在開始聽到大概會肅然起敬了 :p 不過這年頭大家講到 Corporate R&D 的題材時,相對於 Microsoft Research 和 Bell Labs 之類的,似乎還是比較喜歡 refer to Google Research。看來 brand sexiness 果然還是有差啊...

記得以前 Microsoft Research Cambridge 的老大 Andrew Herbert 曾經說過,

"Our brand hides a tremendous amount of innovation."
看起來所言不虛呢。

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大規模購併風潮再現?Microsoft 併購 Yahoo 傳言再起

>> 2007/05/05

看來併購風潮還未止歇,而且越演越烈。會不會再掀起 80 年代 LBO、MBO 的狂潮呢?也許有人會告訴我說這已經開始發生了吧?

晚上碰到前同事跟我說,今晚 YHOO 開盤大漲十幾趴,後來查證似乎是受到微軟併購傳聞影響。相關資料可以看華爾街日報的報導 (不過只有摘要就是了)。

yhoo

微軟和 Yahoo 之前就已經談過又破局,這次在 Google 買下 DoubleClick 之後是不是感到壓力更迫切了呢?還是有其他的原因?不過不管這次商談成局與否,翻閱最近的新聞,世界各地併購聲總是傳不完啊... 先不管某些 6 哥哥 7 弟弟一直提的網路併購風潮,光是最近大的併購案就不少:
  • Royal Bank of Scotland 被英國的 Barclays 用 660 億歐元 (大約 $900 億美金) 買下。
  • 就在上述消息公佈的幾天之後,Royal Bank of Scotland 決定參與競標 ABN AMRO。據說商談價碼高達 720 億歐元。
  • 在葡萄牙,Millennium BCP 重提了購併條件,希望用 53 億歐元 (約 $72 億美金) 買下 Banco BPI。
  • 瑞典藥廠 AstraZeneca 決定買下生技藥廠 MedImmune,價碼 $156 億美金。
  • 重量級私募基金 KKR 大致敲定買下 Alliance Boots,價碼 111 億英鎊 (大約 $220 億美金)。KKR 的 offer 也是歐洲有史以來最大規模的 LBO。
  • 法國的家樂福買了巴西的 Atacadao,一家當地的量販店。價碼 $11 億美金。在這樁併購案之後,家樂福成為巴西最大的零售商。
在這無止境的併購案後面,我們可以看的出來,併購不只是發生在網路界,而是各行各業、跨國進行。在全球化高喊了這麼多年的現在,企業的國界也終於越來越平坦了。

[Update]:關於 MS 併購 Yahoo 的傳聞,從 Chen 兄這篇看來,似乎是已經再度告吹了 :p

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Wow!好評販售中?

>> 2007/03/30

Vista 販售的廣告。

在大阪看到這個 promotion 旗幟,我又想起之前講的老掉牙。好評在哪裡?我周圍好像還沒有一個朋友用 Vista 跑來跟我說「Wow!」的呢。好評不是自己說了就算,就像紫牛也不是自己說了就是真的。

華碩有個 slogan,「華碩品質,堅若磐石」。但是大家都喜歡說,「華碩品質,以卵擊石」。

堅若磐石,也一樣不是自己說了就算的。

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Remarkable - 從華碩尾牙員工表演來看卓越的重要性

>> 2007/03/16

感謝 stealth 分享一則影片,2007 華碩尾牙員工表演冠軍。抱歉你寄給我快兩個禮拜了我才真的點下去看 :p



這個影片除了娛樂效果以外,只提醒了我一件事。還有一句之前看到的話。

「你覺得你做的很好嗎?」

如果你做的很好,那就只有這樣而已。你不會成長,也不會茁壯。你不會因為你做的很好而得到讚美或掌聲,也沒有人會向他的朋友推薦你。不好意思,事情就是這樣。

為什麼?因為「做的很好」的人太多了。做的很好並不夠。沒有人會感動,也沒有人會對你印象深刻。就拿尾牙表演當例子好了。你看過幾個員工尾牙?又參加過幾場?你現在還記得哪些表演項目呢?你會向朋友推薦你之前看過的表演項目嗎?在這個影片的開頭,介紹人開門見山就問:「你們記得剛剛看到的表演是什麼嗎?... 我就知道你們忘記了嘛。」... 還真是一針見血啊。

如果你有參加過員工尾牙的演出,那麼你的表演為什麼沒有人拍成影片,傳上 YouTube?為什麼會有這麼多人願意推薦這個華碩的尾牙表演?

大家當然都很清楚,道理很簡單,因為這個表演很傑出。卓越到讓人忍不住推薦給親朋好友。至於其他的表演呢?為什麼沒人推薦?因為他們不夠好。就這麼簡單。

微軟最近推出新的作業系統,Vista。微軟想要打造大家的印象,把 "Wow!" 當做 slogan 之一來做宣傳。但是你有看過幾個人用過 Vista 以後說 "Wow!" 的?你有看過哪個朋友跟你推薦說:「ㄟ,Vista 你一定要用用看! 那個 xxx 的功能實在是太棒了」嗎?問題出在哪裡?

卓越。

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Video is hot, but maybe too hot for some players - 你在紅海還是藍海?

>> 2007/01/11

video market share 2006 Dec

According to this data, YouTube & MySpace Accounted for over 65% market share in video sharing, while Google + MSN Soapbox + Yahoo summed up to only 18%. Needless to say about other laggards that are well behind.

I've said it before and I'll say it again. This is a winners-take-all game. Nothing will be left for followers. After YouTube got away with the bounty prize, you'd ought to know better than competing on the same ground.

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Windows Live Local

>> 2006/03/22

Windows Live Local 上線。

http://preview.local.live.com/

微軟的服務越來越多, 也越來越有趣了...

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MSN Spaces 新功能

>> 2006/01/31

MSN Spaces 出現了些新功能了, 例如 blog search, 更大的相片上傳空間, 自訂廣告, 以及更簡短的 url (such as :http://spaces.msn.com/gmclee )

詳細的列表請看這裡

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Microsoft Launches Antivirus Beta

>> 2005/12/02

觸角現在終於伸到防毒軟體的領域來了...

這個新聞對趨勢 & Symantec 來說當然不會是新聞,
他們想必也早有腹案應對, 我比較好奇的是他們想變
的是什麼花招?

http://informationweek.com/story/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=174403101
http://www.theregister.com/2005/12/01/microsoft_anti-virus_public_beta/

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什麼叫做財大氣粗

>> 2005/11/24

xbox 360

本錢粗的傢伙, 講起話來聲音也硬是比較大聲啊。

當初微軟推 Xbox 跟 PS2 對抗的時候, 不惜低價傾銷搶佔市佔率; 今天, Xbox 初陣雖然出師不利, 不過微軟仍然再接再厲, 搶在 PS3 之前推出了 Xbox 360。這次基本機種零售價格大約是 $300 USD, 而一般版本則是 $399。以 Business Week 的估算來說, 光是組裝前的成本就賠了 $71 USD, 如果加上那些運費、耗材、哩哩扣扣的組裝費用等等算起來, 一台大約就賠 $126。

其實照理說, 做生意跟作股票應該是滿類似的吧? 都得給自己有個 stop-loss 點。總是要有些指標來衡量進出場的點, 不然哪有評估成敗的標準? 以之前的數字來看, Xbox 銷售量 (22M) 不到 PS2 (96M) 的 1/4 ... 這樣難道微軟還想繼續推新產品來搶市場嗎? 甚至不惜賠本燒錢?

財大氣粗啊...

或許微軟也只是覺得 can't afford to lose 這個市場未來的發展潛力吧 ?

Economist : The Xbox factor
Business Week : Microsoft's Red-Ink Game

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Firefox growth slowing down

>> 2005/09/30

'We always knew there was a finite number of early adopters out there and a finite number of Microsoft haters who would switch to something new, but we didn't know what that number was. It looks like we're approaching it.'

我突然想到 Crossing the Chasm 這本書。Firefox 跨不跨的過這道溝, 我是不知道, 我也不 care, 不過我倒是很想知道, 一樣的 high tech marketing model 在 firefox 上面能不能 work, 能不能解釋 :P

http://slashdot.org/articles/05/09/29/1331209.shtml?tid=154&tid=95

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Microsoft to hire ESR ?!

>> 2005/09/10

ESR

有一篇 slashdot 的報導很有趣, 說 ESR 在他的 blog 上自述, 收到 Microsoft 的 recruit letter, 並且有 HR 來跟他連絡... 鼎鼎大名的 Eric S. Raymond 收到 M$ offer 這件事情,當然馬上轟動萬教 xD

在 slashdot 上的 comments 有一段很有趣:

Your New Job, ESR:
MS: Sit in this office. Call no one. Write nothing. Issue no memos. Reply to no email.
ESR: I can't do that?
MS: Can't handle the isolation?
ESR: No, I have to sound off every now and then or people will forget about me!
MS: Well... that's what were actually shooting for.
而在 ESR 自己說跟老婆討論的結果, 他老婆的回應也很有趣 :p

"My wife, upon hearing of this, suggested that if something like this could happen maybe I haven’t made enough trouble for Microsoft lately, and I’m slipping off their radar. She
might have a point…"

ESR's blog : Microsoft tries to recruit me
Slashdot article : ESR gets Job Offer From Microsoft

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微軟宣稱, 開放 Raw Socket 太危險?

>> 2005/04/29

Err... 可能又有筆戰文要出現了。nmap 的作者似乎跟微軟槓上了...

http://www.zdnet.com.au/news/security/0,2000061744,39189876,00.htm

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IE 3.0 的按鍵清理

>> 2005/04/28

IE3 光溜溜

IE 3.0 用久了, 難免會跟其他滑鼠一樣, 按一下有時候會出現連擊的效果。這裡有個簡體網站, 教人怎麼拆卸、清理 IE 3.0

不過我是捨不得把鼠腳拔掉解開來清就是了...

僅供參考。

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MSN 搜尋偏好 IIS ?

>> 2005/04/27

from slashdot.

如果使用 IIS 當作你的 WWW server 的話, 被 msn 搜尋排到前面的機會比使用其他伺服器高?

這不是我講的, 請看這篇研究:http://www.ivor.it/goog/orig/
original slashdot link : http://slashdot.org/articles/05/04/26/1228227.shtml?tid=109&tid=95

Even more evil than before ? :p

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